Real Madrid vs Atlético Madrid
The time has come upon us again to offer this season’s UEFA Super Cup Final prediction. The final will be played on Wednesday 15th August 2018. The winners of the Champions league, Real Madrid face the winners of the Europa League Atlético Madrid in an exciting opener of the European football season.
The venue for this match is a humble stadium in Estonia. The 13,000 seater A. Le Coq Arena will host this beautiful spectacle and straight away this will have that exciting final fever. Two ambitions teams, a well-fought Madrid derby and a title that both team will want to take home as a promise of things to come this season.
The history of these teams in the cup
Real Madrid have been a fixture in this super cup final in the last 5 years. They’ve gotten access to it 4 out of the last 5 years by winning an amazing 4 Champions league finals. They’ve looked superior in the top European competition, at times seemingly sacrificing their energy in the La Liga in favour of the Champions League. It has paid off massively. Real Madrid are 4 time winners of this cup and are looking to match Barcelona and Milan as 5 time winners next Wednesday.
Atlético Madrid are also looking to extend their 2 wins to 3. They have last won this cup in 2012 after winning the UEFA Europa League and successfully beating Chelsea 4-1 in the Monaco final. Diego Simeone will not want to let this one slip.
Real Madrid and Atlético Madrid have played each other almost 4 times a season in the last 3 years. Of which 2 are league matches and the rest being cup or European cup meetings. The most common score between these two teams is the draw. This happens 50% of the time these teams meet with the remainder of the wins going 4 times to Atlético and 3 times to Real Madrid since 2015. One very interesting thing to note is that Real Madrid have never been eliminated or beaten in European competitions by Atlético Madrid, whether in a knockout or a single game match. This is the mental edge that the Blancos enjoy over their city rivals.
It is worthy to note that this will be the first derby final ever in the history of the competition. There have been many games played between same nationality teams but never from the same city.
The match will be played over 90 minutes and if the correct score is draw at the end there will be an additional 30 minutes of extra time to be played. If the score remains draw at the end of the 120 minutes, the match will be decided on penalties.
This edition will include the naming of 12 substitutes on the bench with 3 substitutions per team allowed within 90 minutes and an additional one in extra time (If needed).
The referee for this match will be experienced Polishman Szymon Marciniak who has also been involved in the 2016 European Cup and the 2018 World Cup.
Without a doubt the biggest absence from this fixture is Cristiano Ronaldo. The ex-Real Madrid star has moved to Juventus for EUR 105m in what is definitely the biggest transfer of this window. His absence in Europe will be a blow to Real Madrid. In his stead, Gareth Bale, Asensio and Benzema will have to pick up the goal tally.
The energy guy for Atlético Madrid is usually Diego Simeone. Seemingly pumping his team up so much before the match that they are like hungry lions by kick-off. This energy driven method has led Atlético to be a pleasant surprise in each of Europe’s major cups since 2010 (when he first joined).
Atlético have also made a big signing in Thomas Lemar, 22 year old left winger from AS Monaco. Watch out for this firecracker paced midfielder.
On the other hand Julen Lopetegui has had his fair share of drama this summer. His agreement to join Real Madrid was announced 2 days prior to the start of the World Cup. This forced the hand of the Spanish football federation to dismiss the manager as they were unaware of the incoming communication. His first transfer news at Real Madrid was the departure of Cristiano Ronaldo and this was obviously a huge blow (albeit probably expected). Since then, Real Madrid players have expressed their willingness to leave the club in a very unstable summer for Florentino Perez and his empire.
Real Madrid’s marquee signing of the summer has not yet landed and there are various rumours about Eden Hazard from Chelsea surfacing of late. One signing that must not go overlooked is Vinicius Junior. He is 18 years old but has been dubbed as one of the hottest prospects available in football. That said, we doubt he will make an impact in this game, but more of a season long watch.
Predicted line-ups for each side
Real Madrid: (4-2-3-1) Navas, Marcelo, Ramos, Varane, Carvajal, Modric, Casemiro, Kroos, Bale, Benzema.
Atlético Madrid: (4-2-3-1) Oblak, Hernandez, Godin, Savic, Gimenez, Koke, Niguez, Griezmann, Lemar, Martins, Diego Costa.
Super Cup Final 2018 betting tips
This match will be characterised by the spirit of a derby mixed with the off-form play from being the first competitive game of the season. Both teams will not hold back, but do not expect it to be 100% quality. This cup means more to Atlético Madrid than Real Madrid, so expect more passion and effort from Atlético.
The derby feeling will obviously be somewhat subdued because of the neutral stadium. On average when these two teams meet there are approximately 3.5 cards per game and some value may be found on an over on that with an early goal.
Both teams play an attacking style of football with lots of diagonal passing and with anchor number 9 attackers in Benzema and Costa. Expect corners in this one.
Our predictions for the UEFA Super Cup Final:
- Both teams to score and Atlético to win
- Over 10 total corners
- Gareth Bale and Diego Costa to score anytime