Date and time: November 18, 7:45pm

Location: Wembley

England meet Iceland in the final UEFA Nations League match of the campaign. Having lost against Belgium at the weekend, Gareth Southgate’s side can no longer qualify for the next round. This game is a dead rubber, meaning that the big name players like Harry Kane may be rested.

But England will need to win to end the year on a high. Jack Grealish is expected to start after an impressive performance in Leuven. This one really should be straight forward, though it is worth remembering that Iceland have caused England problems in the past.

Only a late goal and missed penalty by Iceland got an away win two months ago. We think England will win this one but it may not be as simple as some of the bookies are saying. That could create value, but a home win in both halves seems like a good call at 8/13 with Bet365.

Why are we backing England here?

Home advantage will make a difference. England have won three of their last four games at Wembley, conceding just twice.

We think they should win this one with a clean sheet. But they’ll have to rely on Dominic Calvert-Lewin to score anytime at 10/11 with Bet365.

What other markets are worth a look?

Under 2.5 goals at 13/10 with Bet365.

Odds correct as of 16/11/2020